Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Leiston		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.7	3.6	2.2
	2.66	3.81	2.3
	2.7	3.54	2.26
	2.7	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.27)	3.61 ↓ (3.64)	2.23 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
34%

Draw
25.2%

Mickleover Sports
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.4%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiston's performance.

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mickleover Sports might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mickleover Sports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Leiston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mickleover is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leiston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leiston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
24.02.24	Leiston - Alvechurch	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Leiston - Halesowen Town	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Stourbridge - Leiston	1:3 ✺
13.02.24	Needham Market - Leiston	5:0 ✺
10.02.24	Leiston - Barwell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLL
- Mickleover Sports
English Southern League Central Division
24.02.24	Mickleover Sports - Kettering Town	4:1 ✺
17.02.24	Royston Town - Mickleover Sports	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	Mickleover Sports - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sudbury Town - Mickleover Sports	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Mickleover Sports - Barwell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.09.23	Mickleover Sports - Leiston	5:0
03.12.22	Mickleover Sports - Leiston	2:2
20.08.22	Leiston - Mickleover Sports	3:1

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