Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Leiston		Stamford

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.65	3.9
	1.75	3.94	3.8
	1.57	4.31	4.82	Watch
	1.62	3.78	4.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.92 ↓ (4.31)	4.27 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
55.1%

Draw
23.4%

Stamford
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.6%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

17.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Leiston - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Mills A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Jackson E. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Mills A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Leiston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stamford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leiston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stamford has had a series of home games.

In this match, Leiston is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
08.11.25	Worcester City - Leiston	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sudbury Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Leiston - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leiston - Barwell	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWT
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.25	Stamford - Worcester City	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Stamford - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Stamford - Barwell	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Stamford - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
08.02.25	Stamford - Leiston	0:2
02.11.24	Leiston - Stamford	1:1
23.03.24	Stamford - Leiston	3:0
25.11.23	Leiston - Stamford	3:2

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