Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Leiston		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	4.65
	1.67	3.78	4.5
	1.57	4.26	5.05	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4
	1.54	3.92	5.07
	1.66	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.89 ↓ (4.07)	4.63 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
56.9%

Draw
23.4%

Royston Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

21.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Royston Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Leiston - Royston Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Iaciofano J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 1 - 1, Fowkes B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.

Recent performances by Leiston have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Royston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Royston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leiston has had a series of home games.

In this match, Leiston is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.26	Harborough Town - Leiston	3:2 ✺
20.01.26	Leiston - Alvechurch	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Leiston - Kettering Town	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Leiston - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTWL
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.26	Royston Town - Quorn	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Halesowen Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	St Ives Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Royston Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kettering Town - Royston Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.10.25	Royston Town - Leiston	1:3
01.01.25	Royston Town - Leiston	1:1
26.08.24	Leiston - Royston Town	2:0
01.04.24	Royston Town - Leiston	4:2
01.01.24	Leiston - Royston Town	2:3
22.11.22	Leiston - Royston Town	3:0
16.08.22	Royston Town - Leiston	1:1

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