Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Leiston		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.95	3.9
	1.71	4.19	4.08	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.4
	1.9	3.44	3.51
	1.9	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	3.74 ↓ (3.82)	3.7 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
50.8%

Draw
24.5%

Stourbridge
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Leiston - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Harvey P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 1.

Recent performances by Leiston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stourbridge is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stourbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leiston is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stourbridge: 0.39% Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
10.01.26	Leiston - Kettering Town	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Leiston - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Halesowen Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Leiston - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.26	Stourbridge - Quorn	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Stourbridge - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bury Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Royston Town - Stourbridge	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Stourbridge - Leiston	1:1
14.12.24	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:3
09.03.24	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:1
17.02.24	Stourbridge - Leiston	1:3
04.03.23	Stourbridge - Leiston	1:1
22.10.22	Leiston - Stourbridge	1:1
26.02.22	Stourbridge - Leiston	2:0

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