Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leixões		Leiria

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	2.25	3.20	2.70
	2.3	3.2	2.9
	2.05	3.56	3.82
	2.24	3.34	3.15	Watch
	2	3.5	3.65
	1.98	3.43	3.64	Watch
	1.99	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.43)	3.35 ↑ (3.26)	3.35 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
44.5%

Draw
27.7%

Leiria
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leixões's performance.

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Leixões - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leiria (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 50%). Leiria (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (G) 4. Matheus Costa 44. Semeu 63. Faria H. 77. Paulinho 6. Balde A. 22. Araujo C. 15. Simaozinho 7. Agra S. 35. Rochez B. 9. Bica	99. Odehnal J. (G) 70. Masaki H. 44. Marcelo 16. Ze Pedro 68. Maga 11. Jair da Silva 19. Lottin A. 98. Guirassy 17. Fernandez P. 7. Ondo N. 9. Munoz J. (C)
Substitutes
17. Arthur Baggio 80. Assuncao J. 10. Barbosa R. 3. Figueiredo L. 2. Fonseca F. 71. Kaique 33. Luccas Paraizo 8. Miguel Sousa 99. Moshood M. 88. Pina R. 30. Serif N. 1. Simao (G)	22. Almeida M. 25. Amado D. 20. Gomes B. 21. Jaiminho 80. Joel C. (G) 6. Kouassi E. 88. Martins D. 4. Mascaro L. 82. Ntanda S. 79. Oliveira P. 8. Reko 18. Tharlley
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Rochez B. ⚽, Araujo C. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽,
18', Semeu 🟨,
24', 1 - 2, Fernandez P. ⚽, Jair da Silva (A),
28', Balde A. 🟨,
37', Semeu ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
43', Bica ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Ondo N. 🟨,
58', Balde A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Marcelo ⚽,
60', Lottin A. ↓, Tharlley ↑,
66', Simaozinho ↓, Kaique ↑,
67', Rochez B. ↓, Serif N. ↑,
67', Agra S. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
71', Fernandez P. 🟨,
74', Ondo N. ↓, Ntanda S. ↑,
74', Fernandez P. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
75', 1 - 4, Ntanda S. ⚽,
83', Guirassy ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
83', Munoz J. ↓, Reko ↑,
90+2', 2 - 4, Luccas Paraizo ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leixões - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.4%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.08.26	Leixões - Tondela	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Benfica B - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Leixões - Casa Pia	6:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Leixões - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Chaves - Leixões	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWWW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
15.08.26	Leiria - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Vizela - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Las Palmas - Leiria	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Leiria - Feirense	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Vizela - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.26	Leixões - Leiria	1:4
25.10.25	Leiria - Leixões	1:3
30.03.25	Leixões - Leiria	0:1
03.11.24	Leiria - Leixões	1:0
06.04.24	Leixões - Leiria	0:0
18.11.23	Leiria - Leixões	0:0

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