Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 7

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leixões U23		Farense U23

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.8	3.45	2.21
	2.92	3.61	2.25
	2.93	3.58	2.25	Watch
	2.84	3.44	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.45	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.34)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	2.21 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões U23
32.2%

Draw
26.3%

Farense U23
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.6%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leixões U23's form might have worsened.

Farense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farense U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões U23 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leixões U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farense U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leixões U23 - Farense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Roka ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Boavida J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Gabriel Cardoso ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Farense U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Farense U23 - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.04.25	Académico de Viseu U23 - Leixões U23	5:1 ✺
01.04.25	Leixões U23 - Braga U23	2:2 ✺
25.03.25	Leixões U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Leixões U23 - Mafra U23	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Portimonense U23 - Leixões U23	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWT
- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
22.04.25	Académico de Viseu U23 - Farense U23	4:2 ✺
15.04.25	Farense U23 - Braga U23	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Portimonense U23 - Farense U23	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Farense U23 - Santa Clara U23	5:1 ✺
18.03.25	Farense U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.02.25	Farense U23 - Leixões U23	2:0
16.04.24	Farense U23 - Leixões U23	2:1
13.02.24	Leixões U23 - Farense U23	1:2
20.04.23	Leixões U23 - Farense U23	0:1
21.02.23	Farense U23 - Leixões U23	0:1

Leixões U23 - Farense U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide