Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 13

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Lemense FC		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.2	3.73
	1.9	3.2	3.73
	2.05	3.4	3
	1.88	3.38	3.72
	1.9	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.04)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.56 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lemense FC
47.1%

Draw
27.4%

Sertãozinho
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lemense FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lemense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sertãozinho is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sertãozinho could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sertãozinho have a series of home games.

Lemense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lemense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lemense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
02.03.24	Lemense FC - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Lemense FC - Itapirense	2:3 ✺
25.02.24	Rio Preto - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Lemense FC - Grêmio Prudente	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Marília - Lemense FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLT
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
09.03.24	Sertãozinho - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:0 ✺
21.02.24	Sertãozinho - Rio Preto	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Sertãozinho	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Sertãozinho - Matonense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.04.21	Lemense FC - Sertãozinho	2:0
12.02.20	Sertãozinho - Lemense FC	1:1

Lemense FC - Sertãozinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide