Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 6

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Leningradets		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	3.66	3	2.19
	3.58	3.24	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
26.2%

Draw
29.8%

Akron Tolyatti
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.4%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Leningradets - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smirnov E. (G) 77. Bachinski M. 8. Gorulev V. 23. Ilyin S. 17. Kaptilov V. 47. Kazakov R. 97. Khityaev A. 5. Kostin S. (C) 41. Mikushin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 37. Sirotov V.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 27. Chudin I. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 22. Galkin V. 18. Kilin A. (C) 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K.
Substitutes
3. Bulygin I. 16. Karabashev N. (G) 4. Kudryavtsev R. 22. Levin M. 11. Markin M. 9. Rozmanov N. 33. Yakovlev A. 91. Zaytsev A. (G) 90. Zhironkin V.	7. Apekov R. 9. Azarov V. 23. Danilin K. 70. Eldarushev A. 13. Khubaev D. 52. Konyukhov V. 19. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Kiryakov S.	Kaleshin E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Leningradets is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Akron is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Akron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Akron will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
12.08.23	Leningradets - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Tyumen - Leningradets	4:0 ✺
30.07.23	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Arsenal Tula - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLTWT
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
13.08.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
28.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - Arsenal Tula	5:1 ✺
23.07.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Akron Tolyatti	1:4 ✺
16.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

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