Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 1

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Sukhoy Vasilievich A. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.26	3.09
	2.39	3.25	2.86	Watch
	2.34	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)	2.9 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
39.4%

Draw
28.7%

Leningradets
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Tula's form might have worsened.

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leningradets's recent form is better than expected.

Arsenal Tula - Leningradets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Levashov M. (C) 2. Bykovskiy I. 70. Geloyan I. 13. Kaynov M. 7. Khalnazarov R. 24. Korotkov A. 10. Matsukatov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 5. Nizhegorodov K. 20. Okoronquo J. 11. Pomerko A.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 77. Bachinski M. 6. Belyaev M. 8. Gorulev V. 23. Ilyin S. 17. Kaptilov V. 97. Khityaev A. 5. Kostin S. (C) 22. Levin M. 18. Sukhanov E. 90. Zhironkin V.
Substitutes
31. Bolshakov K. 71. Denisov A. 50. Faizullin D. 84. Gerasimov D. (G) 80. Kokarev N. (G) 17. Kuleshin I. 8. Popov A. 18. Yakovlev M.	3. Bulygin I. 47. Kazakov R. 11. Markin M. 41. Mikushin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 1. Smirnov E. (G) 33. Yakovlev A.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Kiryakov S.

Preview

Recent matches Leningradets is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leningradets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arsenal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
03.06.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	6:0 ✺
27.05.23	Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Arsenal Tula - Veles Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- FK Leningradets
Club Friendly
06.07.23	Sochi - Leningradets	4:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
10.06.23	Murom - Leningradets	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Leningradets - Spartak Kostroma	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Torpedo Vladimir - Leningradets	0:4 ✺
21.05.23	Leningradets - Chertanovo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWT

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