Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 5

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Fisenko A. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.93	2.67
	2.72	3.15	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.5)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	2.56 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
33.5%

Draw
30.3%

Akron Tolyatti
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA Khabarovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-4%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Sugrobov V. (C) 14. Bavin Y. 57. Begun D. 4. Kozhemyakin O. 19. Kutovoy M. 31. Nikitin A. 21. Nikitin K. 17. Pokidyshev N. 96. Rukas T. 70. Savinov A. 7. Simonyan A.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 27. Chudin I. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 18. Kilin A. (C) 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 77. Savichev K.
Substitutes
9. Aliev S. 29. Charles Y. J. 11. Gongapshev A. 95. Petrov I. 92. Podberezkin V. 6. Rukas A. 13. Sosranov R. 8. Starodub D.	7. Apekov R. 9. Azarov V. 24. Danilin K. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 13. Khubaev D. 52. Konyukhov V. 11. Ponce A. 23. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Sharonov R.	Kaleshin E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 2.

Recent matches SKA Khabarovsk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akron in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Khabarovsk won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
06.08.23	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Sokol Saratov - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.23	Lokomotiv Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWWL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
06.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
28.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - Arsenal Tula	5:1 ✺
23.07.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Akron Tolyatti	1:4 ✺
16.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - KAMAZ	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Spartak Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.11.22	Akron Tolyatti - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1
06.08.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	3:0
21.05.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	0:3
10.07.21	Akron Tolyatti - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2
06.03.21	Akron Tolyatti - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1
09.09.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:0

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