Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)


	Leningradets		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.16	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.57 (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
36.3%

Draw
28.6%

Spartak Kostroma
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.4%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smirnov E. (G) 92. Barkov D. 57. Bykovskiy I. 23. Ilyin S. 69. Kozlov D. 41. Mikushin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 7. Pesegov E. 28. Ratnikov S. 18. Sukhanov E. (C) 71. Yakovlev D.	68. Gaydash M. (G) 3. Bugriev S. (C) 7. Egurnev A. 50. Faizullin D. 18. Ignatiev M. 14. Kaptilovich D. 78. Kiselev G. 13. Rubtsov I. 55. Saplinov A. 56. Viktor Demyanov 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Substitutes
82. Arkhipenko V. 77. Bachinski M. 10. Gorelishvili M. 68. Grigorjev A. (G) 47. Kazakov R. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 79. Kukharchuk A. 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 33. Yakovlev A.	23. Chikanchi M. 40. Genchu N. 10. Korolkov K. 47. Kotov A. 22. Nemchenko A. 17. Pchelintsev I. 8. Sadov D. 11. Seraskhov A. 4. Supranovich N. 99. Terekhov D. (G)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

Recent matches Leningradets is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak Kostroma is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leningradets won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Leningradets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
15.09.24	Kuban Krasnodar - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Leningradets - Kaluga	3:3 ✺
Russian Cup
04.09.24	Znamya Truda - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.08.24	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Leningradets	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWT
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
15.09.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Spartak Kostroma - Kuban Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.24	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.08.24	Kaluga - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Spartak Kostroma - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
04.06.23	Leningradets - Spartak Kostroma	3:0
05.05.23	Spartak Kostroma - Leningradets	0:2

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