FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 15
Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday
Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)
Volgar Astrakhan
Spartak Kostroma
1
X
2
2.65
3.28
2.34
2.55
3.3
2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.6 ↓ (3.45)
3.29 ↓ (3.3)
2.37 ↑ (1.98)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volgar Astrakhan 34.6%
Draw 27.4%
Spartak Kostroma 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
27.6%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
26.8%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volgar Astrakhan's performance.
Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Kostroma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volgar Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Kostroma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volgar Astrakhan - Spartak Kostroma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Smirnov O. (G) 34. Dmitriev O. 5. Khomukha I. 17. Lesnikov D. 78. Melnikov D. 88. Mironov D. 71. Nasyrov I. 7. Pavlishin A. 24. Pogosov A. 28. Proshkin E. 58. Zuev I.
68. Gaydash M. (G) 69. Chursin K. 18. Ignatiev M. 78. Kiselev G. 10. Korolkov K. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 55. Saplinov A. 4. Supranovich N. 56. Viktor Demyanov 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Substitutes
11. Bakhtiyarov A. 40. Burkin D. 86. Dmitriev S. 77. Druzhinin I. 8. Galanin I. 6. Krivokhizhin E. 56. Loskutov S. 55. Matyushenko I. 22. Puzanov S. 90. Shcherbakov A.
3. Bugriev S. 50. Faizullin D. 40. Genchu N. 14. Kaptilovich D. 80. Khorin A. A. 1. Kostelei G. (G) 24. Kudryashov I. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 22. Nemchenko A. 31. Roland J. (G) 7. Zhironkin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Viktor Demyanov 🟨,
42', Supranovich N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Viktor Demyanov ↓, Khorin A. A. ↑,
46', Melnikov D. ↓, Loskutov S. ↑,
46', Mironov D. ↓, Puzanov S. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Saplinov A. ⚽,
57', Korolkov K. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
62', Nasyrov I. ↓, Matyushenko I. ↑,
62', Chursin K. ↓, Faizullin D. ↑,
68', Zuev I. 🟨,
72', Kiselev G. 🟨,
73', Matyushenko I. 🟨,
78', Zhilmostnykh D. 🟨,
81', Pavlishin A. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
86', Pogosov A. ↓, Galanin I. ↑,
86', Rubtsov I. ↓, Kaptilovich D. ↑,
86', Zhilmostnykh D. ↓, Genchu N. ↑,
90', Puzanov S. 🟨,
90+9', Genchu N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).
In recent matches, Volgar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Spartak Kostroma is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Spartak Kostroma might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volgar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Volgar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.