The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leningradets 17.1%
Draw 24.7%
Torpedo Moscow 58.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.4%
25.5%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
22.4%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leningradets - Torpedo Moscow Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 2. Nikolaev S. 32. Kulishev A. 44. Kalugin N. (C) 4. Kudryavtsev R. 78. Kiselev G. 21. Makarov A. 6. Rodin D. 10. Zarypbekov E. 7. Nikitin D. 11. Yakovlev D.
58. Ladokha D. (G) 17. Berkovsky I. 4. Borodin S. (C) 2. Bozov N. 99. Shevchenko G. 24. Pogosov A. 9. Oganesyan S. 7. Yushin A. 97. Curic M. 79. Kashtanov A. 20. Okoronkwo J.
Substitutes
77. Bachinskiy M. 14. Kenfak O. 19. Maksetsov A. 5. Morozov K. 31. Orlyansky I. 83. Petrov I. 52. Petukhov I. 1. Smirnov E. (G)
8. Ajibona U. 11. Apekov R. 84. Churilov V. 21. Galoyan A. 3. Ivankov A. 48. Mokrousov S. (G) 5. Moskvichev V. 27. Orekhov A. 22. Parkhomenko E. 10. Tsypchenko D.
Coaches
Podpaliy S.
Storozhuk A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Okoronkwo J. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Pogosov A. ⚽,
37', Nikolaev S. ↓, Morozov K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Kudryavtsev R. ⚽,
55', Yushin A. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Pogosov A. ⚽,
66', Kulishev A. ↓, Bachinskiy M. ↑,
76', Kashtanov A. ↓, Tsypchenko D. ↑,
78', Yakovlev D. 🟨,
78', Yakovlev D. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
87', Pogosov A. ↓, Moskvichev V. ↑,
87', Oganesyan S. ↓, Orekhov A. ↑,
87', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Ajibona U. ↑,
88', Moskvichev V. 🟨,
90', Kenfak O. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 6th).
Leningradets has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Torpedo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leningradets could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Torpedo carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Leningradets has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 2.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leningradets against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.
Belarus
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Kuznetsov A. (G) 
Makarov A. 
Zarypbekov E. 
Curic M. 
Okoronkwo J. 
Kenfak O. 
Galoyan A. 
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