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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Moscow 43.6%
Draw 28.1%
Nizhny Novgorod 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
31.4%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
31.7%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Moscow's performance.
Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nizhny Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 90. Roganovic B. 2. Bozov N. 4. Borodin S. 10. Tsypchenko D. 97. Curic M. 24. Pogosov A. 17. Berkovsky I. 79. Kashtanov A. 7. Yushin A.
30. Medvedev N. (C) 4. Evgenyev R. 66. Gudkov Y. 3. Koledin Y. 94. Timofeev A. 8. Maiga M. 77. Ivlev A. 18. Sokolov A. 11. Popolitov G. 9. Sarveli V. 27. Grulev V.
Substitutes
8. Ajibona U. 11. Apekov R. 14. Burkhin E. 84. Churilov V. 21. Galoyan A. 3. Ivankov A. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 5. Moskvichev V. 9. Oganesyan S. 20. Okoronkwo J. 27. Orekhov A. 22. Parkhomenko E.
2. Aleksandrov V. 7. Bober I. 19. Ermakov N. 91. Ignatenko V. 98. Imamov I. (G) 22. Kakkoev N. 72. Komissarov T. 93. Lapinsky S. 17. Shilnikov G. 80. Tsarukyan V.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.
Garanin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Grulev V. ⚽,
38', Koledin Y. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Kashtanov A. ⚽,
39', Medvedev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maiga M. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Grulev V. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Timofeev A. 🟨,
56', Yushin A. ↓, Okoronkwo J. ↑,
61', Popolitov G. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
76', Berkovsky I. ↓, Ajibona U. ↑,
76', Pogosov A. ↓, Orekhov A. ↑,
78', Gudkov Y. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
79', Roganovic B. ↓, Burkhin E. ↑,
85', Sarveli V. ↓, Lapinsky S. ↑,
85', Sokolov A. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 0.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Torpedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Torpedo has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Torpedo Moscow: 5.22%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Pari NN
12
10
1
1
36:14
22
31
6
Torpedo Moscow
12
6
3
3
21:9
12
21
Last Results with these Odds
Torpedo Moscow - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Soldatenko R. (G) 
Roganovic B. 
Curic M. 
Maiga M. 
Ajibona U. 
Galoyan A. 
Parkhomenko E. 
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