Match Info

FNL - Round 12

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Sovcombank Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)

Referee: Shishkin P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Nizhny Novgorod		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.64	7.06
	1.42	4.55	6.95
	1.41	4.49	7.46	Watch
	1.39	4.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	4.47 ↓ (4.49)	6.92 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
65.7%

Draw
20.8%

Leningradets
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.6%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

20%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Leningradets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Nizhny Novgorod - Leningradets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (C) 17. Shilnikov G. 3. Koledin Y. 2. Aleksandrov V. 94. Timofeev A. 77. Ivlev A. 78. Kalinski N. 18. Sokolov A. 9. Sarveli V. 11. Popolitov G. 27. Grulev V.	1. Smirnov E. (G) 4. Kudryavtsev R. 2. Nikolaev S. 44. Kalugin N. (C) 10. Zarypbekov E. 21. Makarov A. 5. Morozov K. 6. Rodin D. 23. Stefanovich I. 32. Kulishev A. 77. Bachinskiy M.
Substitutes
7. Bober I. 15. Ektov A. 19. Ermakov N. 4. Evgenyev R. 66. Gudkov Y. 91. Ignatenko V. 88. Imamov I. (G) 22. Kakkoev N. 72. Komissarov T. 93. Lapinsky S. 80. Tsarukyan V.	99. Emelyanov D. 37. Isaev K. 78. Kiselev G. 96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 19. Maksetsov A. 7. Nikitin D. 9. Pershin M. 52. Petukhov I. 11. Yakovlev D.
Coaches
Garanin V.	Podpaliy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Koledin Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Kudryavtsev R. ↓, Isaev K. ↑,
49', Isaev K. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Kalinski N. ⚽,
53', Stefanovich I. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Grulev V. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Sarveli V. ⚽,
58', Aleksandrov V. 🟨,
60', 5 - 0, Grulev V. ⚽,
61', Bachinskiy M. ↓, Nikitin D. ↑,
61', Stefanovich I. ↓, Yakovlev D. ↑,
61', Sokolov A. ↓, Bober I. ↑,
61', Ivlev A. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
61', Popolitov G. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
63', Morozov K. 🟨,
64', Kulishev A. ↓, Kiselev G. ↑,
71', Grulev V. ↓, Lapinsky S. ↑,
82', Shilnikov G. ↓, Gudkov Y. ↑,
82', Rodin D. ↓, Petukhov I. ↑,
84', Petukhov I. 🟨,
87', 6 - 0, Lapinsky S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

Nizhny Novgorod is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leningradets has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Leningradets has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nizhny Novgorod is the clear favorite.

We predict that Nizhny Novgorod will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Leningradets: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pari NN	12	10	1	1	36:14	22	31
13	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
13.09.26	Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Dynamo Stavropol - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWTW
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
13.09.26	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Sokol Saratov - Leningradets	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Leningradets - SKA Khabarovsk	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Leningradets - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLT

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