Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shinnik		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.64	3.20	2.48
	2.35	3.05	2.65
	2.49	3.25	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.11)	3.17 ↑ (3.01)	2.64 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
36.6%

Draw
28.8%

Torpedo Moscow
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

32%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shinnik's performance.

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vambolt D. (G) 19. Arbuzov Y. 27. Chernyi A. 49. Karaev M. 62. Karpov V. 33. Lavrenkov A. 7. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 21. Pushkarev D. 54. Shmakov I. 13. Yanov D.	58. Ladokha D. (G) 11. Apekov R. 14. Burkhin E. 84. Churilov V. 21. Galoyan A. 3. Ivankov A. 5. Moskvichev V. 9. Oganesyan S. 20. Okoronkwo J. 27. Orekhov A. 22. Parkhomenko K.
Substitutes
24. Azyavin I. 23. Chistyakov N. . Dolgov A. 50. Golubev A. 10. Gongapshev A. 14. Kalinin G. 53. Kotin N. 64. Lanin O. 11. Porokhov I. 15. Samoylov D. 17. Valiakhmetov E. 66. Yanovich N. (G)	8. Ajibona U. 23. Biletskiy N. 55. Dubrovin T. 19. Isadibirov A. 44. Kornyushin D. 48. Mokrousov S. (G) . Zimerov

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Okoronkwo J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Martovoy D. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Chernyi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Karpov V. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
46', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Ajibona U. ↑,
56', Pushkarev D. ↓, Golubev A. ↑,
56', Arbuzov Y. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
61', Martovoy D. ↓, Samoylov D. ↑,
65', Oganesyan S. ↓, Kornyushin D. ↑,
70', Yanov D. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Samoylov D. ⚽,
88', Moskvichev V. ↓, Zimerov P. ↑,
90+1', Valiakhmetov E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Torpedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Shinnik Yaroslavl: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Shinnik - Rotor	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWT
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
04.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Torpedo Moscow	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
26.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1
11.05.26	Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0
11.05.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:0
21.09.24	Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
Club Friendly
20.06.24	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:0
Russian FNL
20.05.24	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1

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