Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Lens		Lorient

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.55	4.40	5.50
	1.50	4.20	6.00	Watch
	1.55	4.55	6.15
	1.51	4.33	6.2	Watch
	1.52	4.45	6.20
	1.54	4.44	6.41	Watch
	1.55	4.60	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	4.41 ↓ (4.69)	6.09 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
62.6%

Draw
21.7%

Lorient
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	3.4%	6.9%

Lens - Lorient Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lens (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Lorient (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 3 - 75%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 32. Antonio K. 25. Ganiou I. 14. Udol M. 2. Aguilar R. 21. Haidara A. 8. Titraoui Y. 22. Skoras M. 10. Thauvin F. (C) 9. Hazard T. 19. Sima A.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 20. Sylla D. 3. Talbi M. (C) 32. Adjei N. 77. Katseris P. 72. Mbamba N. 8. Cadiou N. 43. Kouassi A. 33. Bernardeau G. 17. Makengo J. 42. Kone M.
Substitutes
5. Bulatovic A. 27. Cuisance M. 11. Edouard O. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 24. Gradit J. 29. Ivanovic F. 31. Sagnan S. 38. Soares M. 7. Sotoca F.	62. Avom A. 18. Balde I. 19. Faye S. 2. Georgen A. 10. Jensen I. 21. Kamara B. (G) 11. Le Bris T. 55. Obaretin N. 15. Tosin A.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Dujeux A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Adjei N. 🟨,
24', Udol M. ↓, Sagnan S. ↑,
26', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Kone M. ⚽, Katseris P. (A),
60', Titraoui Y. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
61', Haidara A. ↓, Cuisance M. ↑,
67', Katseris P. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
67', Kone M. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
67', Mbamba N. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
70', Hazard T. ↓, Edouard O. ↑,
70', Aguilar R. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
75', Bernardeau G. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
77', Skoras M. 🟨,
85', Sagnan S. 🟨,
90+2', Sagnan S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.

Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lorient's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Lens has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lens is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Abdulhamid S. (Contusion) Baidoo S. (Knee Injury) Chavez J. (Thigh Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Nawrocki M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 1.95% Lorient: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9:9	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lens - Auxerre	5:2 ✺
French Super Cup
16.08.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
Como Cup
01.08.26	Lens - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Lens - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWT
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Lorient - Troyes	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Elversberg - Lorient	4:1 ✺
04.08.26	Lorient - UNFP	5:1 ✺
18.07.26	Lorient - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.03.26	Lorient - Lens	2:1
02.11.25	Lens - Lorient	3:0
03.05.24	Lens - Lorient	2:0
04.11.23	Lorient - Lens	0:0
21.05.23	Lorient - Lens	1:3
Coupe De France
09.02.23	Lorient - Lens	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
31.08.22	Lens - Lorient	5:2

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