Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	15:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:45	FOX One
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Lorient		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.30	2.10	Watch
	3.70	3.25	2.10
	3.55	3.35	2.04	Watch
	4.32	3.25	2.12
	3.38	3.49	2.13	Watch
	4.25	3.20	2.04
	3.84	3.34	2.08	Watch
	3.85	3.35	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.99)	3.32 ↓ (3.43)	2.09 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
25.1%

Draw
28.9%

Paris FC
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

27.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	4.5%	86.4%

Lorient - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Paris FC will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 72.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 32. Adjei N. 3. Talbi M. (C) 95. Toure I. 20. Sylla D. 8. Cadiou N. 2. Georgen A. 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 10. Jensen I. 42. Kone M.	1. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 31. Chergui S. 42. Coppola D. 14. Traore H. 20. Lopez M. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 15. Koleosho L. 9. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
62. Avom A. 18. Balde I. 33. Bernardeau G. 19. Faye S. 31. Haribou S. 21. Kamara B. (G) 30. Kuzmic S. 11. Le Bris T. 55. Obaretin N.	28. De Smet T. 11. Krasso J. 23. Matondo R. 3. Mbemba E. 5. Mbow M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio 18. Sissoko O. 8. Zabi P.
Coaches
Dujeux A.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
58', Chergui S. 🟨,
58', Traore H. 🟨,
65', Camara A. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
65', Kebbal I. ↓, Zabi P. ↑,
66', Chergui S. ↓, Otavio ↑,
66', Kone M. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
66', Jensen I. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Bernardeau G. ⚽, Makengo J. (A),
70', Talbi M. 🟨,
74', Zabi P. 🟨,
78', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
78', Georgen A. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
86', Sinayoko L. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
87', Toure I. ↓, Obaretin N. ↑,
90+2', Lopez M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.

In recent outings, Lorient has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paris FC is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paris FC holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Hamstring Injury) Mbamba N. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Paris FC: Sangui N. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lorient has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:11 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lorient against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 14:3 goals (averaging 2:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	1	12

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.67% Lorient: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lorient - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Lens - Lorient	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lorient - Troyes	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWLT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0
French Ligue 1
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0
French Ligue 2
08.03.25	Paris FC - Lorient	3:2
14.12.24	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0
Coupe De France
09.02.21	Lorient - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 2
29.07.19	Lorient - Paris FC	3:0

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