Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	Lorient		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.20	3.25	2.30
	3.3	3.25	2.22
	3.5	3.4	2.25
	3.02	3.43	2.31	Watch
	3.45	3.3	2.19
	3.34	3.41	2.36	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.99)	3.36 ↓ (3.43)	2.26 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
29.1%

Draw
28.5%

Paris FC
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Lorient - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.

In recent outings, Lorient has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paris FC is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paris FC holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Hamstring Injury) Mbamba N. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Paris FC: Sangui N. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lorient has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:11 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lorient against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 14:3 goals (averaging 2:0.4 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81% Lorient: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
13	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lorient - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Lens - Lorient	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lorient - Troyes	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWLT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0
French Ligue 1
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0
French Ligue 2
08.03.25	Paris FC - Lorient	3:2
14.12.24	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0
Coupe De France
09.02.21	Lorient - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 2
29.07.19	Lorient - Paris FC	3:0

Lorient - Paris FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide