Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Austria	20:45	Laola1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 6
Canada	14:45	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	Ligue 1+
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	19:45	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Nice		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.20
	2.45	3.1	3.05	Watch
	2.54	3.15	3.15
	2.44	3.19	3.03	Watch
	2.5	3.15	3.1
	2.49	3.4	3.13	Watch
	2.5	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.19)	3.22 ↓ (3.49)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
39%

Draw
29.8%

Lorient
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Nice - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. (C) 39. Coulibaly D. 87. Pereira E. 26. Bard M. 7. Hein G. 10. Diop S. 44. Diallo Z.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 20. Sylla D. 3. Talbi M. (C) 32. Adjei N. 11. Le Bris T. 8. Cadiou N. 62. Avom A. 43. Kouassi A. 33. Bernardeau G. 17. Makengo J. 42. Kone M.
Substitutes
5. Abdelmonem M. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 38. Camara A. 22. Camara I. 25. Cho M. 21. Jansson I. 84. Koutoune H. 36. Mantsounga B. 29. Ngoumou N.	7. Fadiga B. 19. Faye S. 2. Georgen A. 21. Kamara B. (G) 77. Katseris P. 72. Mbamba N. 23. Semedo D. 15. Tosin A. 95. Toure I.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Dujeux A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Diallo Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Diallo Z. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
69', Bernardeau G. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
70', Kone M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
72', Sylla D. ↓, Georgen A. ↑,
72', Le Bris T. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
81', Clauss J. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,
81', Diop S. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
88', Mandza Tsiendi X. ↓, Abdelmonem M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.

Nice could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Ankle Injury) Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ngoumou N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	1	12
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.26% Lorient: 0.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Nice - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Juventus - Nice	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	Nice - Nîmes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWW
- FC Lorient
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Elversberg - Lorient	4:1 ✺
04.08.26	Lorient - UNFP	5:1 ✺
18.07.26	Lorient - Nantes	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Concarneau - Lorient	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lorient - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
04.03.26	Lorient - Nice	0:1 penalties
French Ligue 1
22.02.26	Nice - Lorient	3:3
30.11.25	Lorient - Nice	3:1
19.04.24	Nice - Lorient	3:0
20.08.23	Lorient - Nice	1:1
19.03.23	Nice - Lorient	1:1
30.10.22	Lorient - Nice	1:2

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