Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Nice		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.20
	2.45	3.1	3.05	Watch
	2.54	3.15	3.15
	2.44	3.19	3.03	Watch
	2.5	3.15	3.1
	2.49	3.4	3.13	Watch
	2.5	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.19)	3.22 ↓ (3.49)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
39%

Draw
29.8%

Lorient
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Nice - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. (C) 39. Coulibaly D. 87. Pereira E. 26. Bard M. 7. Hein G. 10. Diop S. 44. Diallo Z.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 20. Sylla D. 3. Talbi M. (C) 32. Adjei N. 11. Le Bris T. 8. Cadiou N. 62. Avom A. 43. Kouassi A. 33. Bernardeau G. 17. Makengo J. 42. Kone M.
Substitutes
5. Abdelmonem M. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 38. Camara A. 22. Camara I. 25. Cho M. 21. Jansson I. 84. Koutoune H. 36. Mantsounga B. 29. Ngoumou N.	7. Fadiga B. 19. Faye S. 2. Georgen A. 21. Kamara B. (G) 77. Katseris P. 72. Mbamba N. 23. Semedo D. 15. Tosin A. 95. Toure I.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Dujeux A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Diallo Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Diallo Z. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
69', Bernardeau G. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
70', Kone M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
72', Sylla D. ↓, Georgen A. ↑,
72', Le Bris T. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
81', Clauss J. ↓, Koutoune H. ↑,
81', Diop S. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
88', Mandza Tsiendi X. ↓, Abdelmonem M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.

Nice could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Ankle Injury) Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ngoumou N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.58% Lorient: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Nice - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Juventus - Nice	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	Nice - Nîmes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWW
- FC Lorient
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Elversberg - Lorient	4:1 ✺
04.08.26	Lorient - UNFP	5:1 ✺
18.07.26	Lorient - Nantes	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Concarneau - Lorient	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lorient - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
04.03.26	Lorient - Nice	0:1 penalties
French Ligue 1
22.02.26	Nice - Lorient	3:3
30.11.25	Lorient - Nice	3:1
19.04.24	Nice - Lorient	3:0
20.08.23	Lorient - Nice	1:1
19.03.23	Nice - Lorient	1:1
30.10.22	Lorient - Nice	1:2

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