What is the expert prediction for Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain?

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Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, May 13, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Arena
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Lens		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.18	Watch
	3.21	4	2.18
	3.16	3.99	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.05
	3.19	4.02	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.82 ↓ (3.89)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
30.8%

Draw
24.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

24.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

23.8%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	17%	66%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 9 - 17%). PSG will win (votes: 35 - 66%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 53.2% – 78.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - PSG (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 19. Sima A. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.	39. Safonov M. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 14. Doue D. 87. Neves J. 27. Fernandez D. 29. Barcola B. 10. Dembele O. (C) 7. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
32. Antonio K. 5. Bulatovic A. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 27. Masuaku A. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 41. Soares M. 7. Sotoca F. 10. Thauvin F.	42. Boly D. 53. Cordier T. 54. Lucea D. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 49. Mbaye I. 9. Ramos G. 8. Ruiz F. 17. Vitinha
Coaches
Sage P.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
45', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barcola B. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
60', Said W. ↓, Thauvin F. ↑,
60', Baidoo S. ↓, Antonio K. ↑,
61', Edouard O. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
61', Hernandez L. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
72', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
76', Dembele O. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
76', Neves J. ↓, Lucea D. ↑,
85', Sima A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
85', Aguilar R. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Mbaye I. ⚽, Doue D. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Lens is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

PSG might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lens: Abdulhamid S. (Red Card) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Chevalier L. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Thigh Injury) Lee Kang-In (Ankle Injury) Mendes N. (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Pacho W. (Thigh Injury) Zaire-Emery W. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Lens: Saint-Maximin A. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
08.05.26	Lens - Nantes	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nice - Lens	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.05.26	Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	5:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Angers - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	2:0
18.01.25	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
02.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	1:0
14.01.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
26.08.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	3:1
15.04.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	3:1

Lens - Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide