Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Lentigione		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.98	2.78
	2.38	2.91	2.81
	2.55	2.79	2.93	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.4	2.96	2.89
	2.37	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.08)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	2.85 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lentigione
37.3%

Draw
31.1%

Desenzano Calvina
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30.9%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lentigione's form might have worsened.

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lentigione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lentigione - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Desenzano (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Desenzano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Lentigione is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Desenzano is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lentigione won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lentigione	6	4	1	1	9:6	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.02.26	Rovato Vertovese - Lentigione	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lentigione - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Lentigione - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Crema - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
01.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Progresso	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Correggese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Desenzano Calvina - Tuttocuoio	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Desenzano Calvina - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
05.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	0:1
08.12.19	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	1:2
23.12.18	Lentigione - Desenzano Calvina	4:0

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