Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Pavia		Leon

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.68
	2.38	3.30	2.71	Watch
	2.36	3.18	2.67
	2.38	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	3.25 (3.25)	2.69 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pavia
38.4%

Draw
27.9%

Leon
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Pavia aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Pavia - Leon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.11.25	Pavia - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Castellanzese - Pavia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Pavia - Villa Valle	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Varesina - Pavia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pavia - Piacenza	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWTL
- AC Leon
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.11.25	Leon - Varesina	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vogherese - Leon	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Leon - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Villa Valle - Leon	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Leon - Real Calepina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLW

Pavia - Leon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide