Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Leones		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.6	2.7	2.9
	2.75	2.48	3
	2.55	2.75	2.9
	2.7	2.84	3.11
	2.7	2.8	2.88
	2.52	2.97	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.49)	2.79 ↓ (3.11)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
35.4%

Draw
33%

Rionegro Águilas
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rionegro Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leones - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Leones is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rionegro Águilas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rionegro Águilas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
25.10.20	Leones - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
22.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Leones	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
17.10.20	Boca Juniors - Leones	0:0 ✺
13.10.20	Leones - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
08.10.20	Deportes Quindío - Leones	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTWL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
26.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
22.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Leones	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
19.10.20	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
15.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
22.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Leones	2:0
Colombian Primera A
22.09.18	Rionegro Águilas - Leones	2:1
28.03.18	Leones - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
Colombian Copa
27.04.17	Rionegro Águilas - Leones	0:0
12.04.17	Leones - Rionegro Águilas	0:3

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