Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Leones		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.5	3.35	6.75
	1.55	3.5	5.6
	1.6	3.49	7.35
	1.57	3.4	6
	1.56	3.74	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	3.48 ↑ (3.39)	6.21 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
58.9%

Draw
26.3%

Cartagena
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

26.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

16.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leones - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Apertura to Quadrangular) and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leones is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Leones won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Copa
22.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Leones	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
17.10.20	Boca Juniors - Leones	0:0 ✺
13.10.20	Leones - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
08.10.20	Deportes Quindío - Leones	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Leones - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.20	Cartagena - Las Palmas	3:0 ✺
21.10.20	Almería - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.10.20	Cartagena - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.20	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
13.10.20	Bogotá - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
23.09.19	Cartagena - Leones	0:1
25.05.19	Cartagena - Leones	4:1
20.05.19	Leones - Cartagena	1:1
15.04.19	Leones - Cartagena	1:1
17.07.17	Cartagena - Leones	2:3
25.02.17	Leones - Cartagena	1:1
03.07.16	Leones - Cartagena	4:0

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