Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Leonesa		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.10	7.00
	1.38	4.15	7.20
	1.42	4.21	7.4	Watch
	1.37	4.15	7.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.15 ↓ (4.21)	7.24 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
65.5%

Draw
21.9%

Arenas Club de Getxo
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.1%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 20th in the Relegation).

Leonesa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Arenas is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Leonesa as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Leonesa has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Leonesa - Coria	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	CD Extremadura - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWLW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leonesa	1:2

Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide