Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	16:00	Footballclub


	Leonesa		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.25
	1.55	3.80	4.75
	1.5	4.05	5.3
	1.51	4.24	6.01
	1.49	4.3	6.1	Watch
	1.49	4.15	5.55
	1.55	4.14	5.43
	1.5	4.05	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.42)	4.09 ↓ (4.21)	5.41 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
60.7%

Draw
22.4%

Arenas Club de Getxo
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.1%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. San Roman M. (G) 2. Ortega G. 5. Pier R. 3. Vazquez J. 17. Pomares C. 7. Benito P. A. P. 23. Algobia A. 14. Bicho (C) 22. Queipo D. 19. Escobar A. 9. Delgado J.	13. Oleaga H. (G) 5. Zubelzu J. 22. Dufur A. 15. Arratibel B. 3. Lekuna A. 24. Arnedo A. 16. Akogo G. 20. Zabaleta E. (C) 21. Telletxea I. 23. Oyon A. 9. Cortes J.
Substitutes
33. Aller H. 10. Cardero A. 31. Fernandez M. 11. Garcia H. 15. Jaso Zunzarren A. 20. Lopez I. 16. Lopez O. 6. Maestre S. 8. Ndiaye A. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 24. Tiru B.	8. Badiola I. 17. Bujan U. 2. Larrauri J. 1. Obon (G) 12. Palacin E. 14. Redondo E. 11. Sanchez J. 26. Sanz A. 18. Torres Manzanares R.
Coaches
Jandro Castro	Erice J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Arratibel B. 🟨,
40', Arratibel B. ↓, Palacin E. ↑,
45+2', Zubelzu J. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Oleaga H. (Own goal),
45+5', 2 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽, Benito P. A. P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Arnedo A. ↓, Redondo E. ↑,
46', Cortes J. ↓, Torres Manzanares R. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽, Escobar A. (A),
62', Telletxea I. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
65', Algobia A. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
65', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
73', Delgado J. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
84', Bicho ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
84', Escobar A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
85', Lekuna A. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Vazquez J. (Own goal),
89', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
90+4', Pier R. 🟨,
90+4', Pomares C. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, Garcia H. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 15th and 20th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Leonesa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Arenas has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Leonesa as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Leonesa has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cultural Leonesa	9	3	3	3	10:9	1	12
20	Arenas Getxo	9	1	2	6	7:22	-15	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Leonesa - Coria	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	CD Extremadura - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWLW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zamora	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leonesa	1:2

Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo