Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Referee: Ruiperez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.10	2.20
	2.87	3.10	2.20
	2.90	3.05	2.25
	3.04	3.25	2.38
	3.28	3.43	2.11	Watch
	3.00	3.00	2.35
	3.04	3.25	2.31
	2.90	3.15	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.78)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.25 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
30.5%

Draw
28.8%

Leonesa
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daza A. (G) 2. Morer D. 3. Serrano M. 16. Rivera G. 23. Caballo D. 6. Gil A. 14. Marcelo A. 20. Casas A. 22. Chatiliez W. 10. de la Nava C. (C) 11. Gomez A.	13. San Roman M. (G) 2. Ortega G. 3. Vazquez J. 15. Jaso Zunzarren A. 17. Pomares C. 14. Bicho (C) 23. Algobia A. 7. Benito P. A. P. 10. Cardero A. 22. Queipo D. 19. Escobar A.
Substitutes
7. de Bustos H. 9. Ferrer P. 30. Hernando I. O. 5. Luis Alcalde 4. Mayor R. 19. Mutilva C. 24. Pastor G. 31. Prados L. L. 21. Retu 17. Saidi A. 28. Victor D. E. (G)	33. Aller H. 9. Delgado J. 31. Fernandez M. 11. Garcia H. 16. Lopez O. 6. Maestre S. 34. Merino J. 8. Ndiaye A. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 5. Pier R. 24. Tiru B.
Coaches
Medina J.	Jandro Castro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gil A. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
44', Chatiliez W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chatiliez W. ↓, de Bustos H. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Casas A. ⚽, Serrano M. (A),
68', Cardero A. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Luis Alcalde (A),
75', Algobia A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
75', Pomares C. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
76', Queipo D. 🟨,
79', Lopez O. 🟨,
85', Marcelo A. 🟨,
86', Marcelo A. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
90', Caballo D. 🟥,
90+3', Gomez A. ↓, Retu ↑,
90+3', Garcia H. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 2.

Unionistas is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leonesa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Unionistas has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:18 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unionistas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4:5	-1	8
15	Unionistas	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.26	Mirandés - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Avilés - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
30.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.26	Leonesa - Coria	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	CD Extremadura - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Leonesa - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Barakaldo - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.25	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3
28.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:2
04.02.24	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
02.09.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:0
20.05.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0
26.11.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0
13.02.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1

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