Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leonesa		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.5
	1.88	3.4	3.9
	1.98	3.59	4.11
	1.92	3.58	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	1.94	3.45	4.06	Watch
	1.85	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	3.88 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
48.7%

Draw
27.3%

Cádiz
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

23.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Leonesa - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Cádiz (3.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 16. Ribeiro T. 12. Al Amin H. 14. Bicho 22. Radoja N. 11. Moreno V. 10. Chacon L. 20. Tresaco R. 19. Sobrino R.	13. Aznar V. (G) 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 21. Climent M. 11. Suso (C) 5. Diakite M. 24. Gonzalez J. 16. Cordero A. 7. Perez L. 23. Pascual A.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 17. Calero I. 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 8. Gonzalez Y. 21. Hinojo R. 9. Justo M. 6. Maestre S. 39. Morante A. 15. Ribeiro L. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E.	38. Arribas S. 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 19. de la Rosa J. 18. Diarra Y. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 9. Marti R. 10. Ocampo B. 15. Ortuno S.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Recio I. 🟨,
5', Garcia V. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Moreno V. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Cordero A. ⚽, Suso (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Tresaco R. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
68', Sobrino R. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
68', Radoja N. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
73', Diakite M. 🟨,
78', Perez L. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
78', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
83', Climent M. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
84', Moreno V. ↓, Hinojo R. ↑,
85', Garcia V. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
89', Suso 🟨,
89', Suso ↓, Ortuno S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Maestre S. ⚽, Bicho (A),
90+5', Ribeiro L. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Leonesa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cádiz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leonesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Red Card) Ojeda T. (Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Kovacevic B. (Red Card) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Injury) Ocampo B. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Leonesa - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Granada - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leonesa - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Huesca - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cádiz - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Valladolid - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Cádiz - Leonesa	1:2
17.03.18	Leonesa - Cádiz	0:1
14.10.17	Cádiz - Leonesa	2:2

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