Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 7
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 7
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 7
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leonesa		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.2	2.48	Watch
	2.91	3.38	2.54
	2.73	3.34	2.58	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.75	3.32	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.53)	3.28 ↓ (3.31)	2.54 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
34.2%

Draw
28.7%

Valladolid
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Leonesa - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 12. Al Amin H. 17. Calero I. 28. Ojeda T. 6. Maestre S. 20. Tresaco R. 10. Chacon L. 15. Ribeiro L.	1. Aceves A. (G) 2. Michelin C. 5. Martinez R. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 24. Juric S. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 7. Canos S. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 21. Hinojo R. 9. Justo M. 11. Moreno V. 16. Ribeiro T. 3. Satrustegui E. 19. Sobrino R.	12. Alani I. 14. Alejo I. 17. Biuk S. 13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 10. Marcos Andre 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 30. Modesto H. 39. Ohio N. 19. Sanseviero L. 15. Tomeo P.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Maestre S. 🟨,
19', Juric S. 🟨,
21', Barzic M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Chacon L. ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
34', Ribeiro L. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
37', Clerc C. 🟨,
45+1', Al Amin H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Canos S. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
53', Calero I. 🟨,
63', Tresaco R. ↓, Hinojo R. ↑,
63', Maestre S. ↓, Bicho ↑,
66', Latasa J. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
66', Peter Federico ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
75', Juric S. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
75', Michelin C. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
78', de la Barrera R. 🟨,
78', Ponceau J. 🟨,
89', Collado D. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
89', Al Amin H. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
90+2', Badia E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Leonesa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Valladolid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.26	Huesca - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Leonesa - FC Andorra	0:4 ✺
23.03.26	Castellón - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Leonesa - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Almería - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.26	Valladolid - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Valladolid - Burgos	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Mirandés - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Valladolid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1
03.02.18	Valladolid - Leonesa	3:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.09.17	Leonesa - Valladolid	0:4
Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.17	Leonesa - Valladolid	4:4
Club Friendly
01.03.17	Leonesa - Valladolid	0:1

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