Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.51	3.7	5.25
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.58	3.83	5.76
	1.55	3.73	5.77	Watch
	1.56	3.76	5.84
	1.55	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.86)	3.72 ↑ (3.22)	5.54 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
59%

Draw
24.5%

Osasuna B
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Leonesa - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (C) 2. Garcia V. 3. Satrustegui E. 5. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 14. Bicho 16. Maestre S. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M. 19. Escobar A.	13. Valencia P. (G) 2. Moreno D. 4. Garriz I. 32. Santos U. 3. Herrero T. 6. Echegoyen M. 14. Huarte X. 20. Arroyo R. 8. Osambela A. 17. Moreno P. 30. Bonel A.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 8. Barri 7. Calderon C. 12. Ortega G. 6. Presa K. 4. Rodri Suarez 15. Ruiz V.	22. Arguibide I. 10. Auria M. 21. Garcia J. 23. Lopez N. 7. Lumbreras C. 34. Morales A. 5. Mutilva C. 9. Sancho D. 1. Stamatakis D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Santos U. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Chacon L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fornos Q. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
48', Santos U. 🟨,
51', Echegoyen M. 🟨,
52', 🟨,
55', Echegoyen M. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
64', Moreno P. ↓, Sancho D. ↑,
64', Arroyo R. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
64', Bonel A. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
65', Escobar A. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
65', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
70', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
73', Bicho ↓, Barri ↑,
81', Huarte X. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
82', Justo M. ↓, Presa K. ↑,

Preview

Leonesa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Osasuna B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leonesa to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.09.24	Zamora - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Arenteiro - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Leonesa - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Leonesa - Langreo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.09.24	Osasuna B - Celta de Vigo B	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Osasuna B - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Ourense CF - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Eibar - Osasuna B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.03.24	Osasuna B - Leonesa	0:0
17.09.23	Leonesa - Osasuna B	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.12.19	Leonesa - Osasuna B	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.05.17	Leonesa - Osasuna B	1:0
18.12.16	Osasuna B - Leonesa	2:1

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