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Current Win Probability
Ourense CF 45.9%
Draw 29.4%
Osasuna B 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
26.9%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
19.6%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osasuna B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ourense CF - Osasuna B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 2. Coto E. 4. Carmona F. (C) 14. Perez A. 3. Sanz H. 11. Aranzabe A. 24. Moreno C. 6. Castillo N. 17. Ouhdadi O. 16. Munoz D. 7. Bouzaig A.
1. Rafa (G) 36. Kepa 4. Espejo D. 23. Serrano M. 21. Ruiz R. C. 6. Echegoyen M. 16. Auria M. (C) 14. Garcia J. 11. Pedroarena M. 19. Bonel A. 12. Lucero R.
Substitutes
20. Gueye L. 12. Jelbat A. 15. Piera J. 5. Prado M. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G)
30. Anso M. 18. Bonel A. 26. Garin X. 35. Kall A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 20. Perez B. 5. Santos U. . Stamatakis D. (G) 28. Villamayor Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Munoz D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Ouhdadi O. ⚽,
44', Kepa 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kepa ↓, Garin X. ↑,
48', Coto E. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
56', Garin X. 🟨,
59', Munoz D. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Coto E. ⚽,
68', Bonel A. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
68', Pedroarena M. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
72', Sanz H. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
72', Castillo N. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
76', Garcia J. ↓, Villamayor Y. ↑,
77', Ouhdadi O. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
82', Bouzaig A. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
82', Coto E. ↓, Piera J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent form of Ourense CF has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Osasuna B has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ourense CF is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Spain
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Raton A. (G) 
Ouhdadi O. 
Lucero R. 
Stamatakis D. (G) 
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