Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Leonesa B		Atlético Palencia

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.68	2.32
	3.63	2.77	2.22
	3	2.7	2.45
	3.43	3.06	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (4.19)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa B
27.5%

Draw
32.7%

Atlético Palencia
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

28.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

28%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa B's performance.

Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Palencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Palencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Alhamad J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 2.

Leonesa B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Palencia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Palencia is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leonesa B won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Leonesa B	5	3	1	1	4:2	2	10
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.02.26	Becerril - Leonesa B	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Leonesa B - Arandina	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Bembibre - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leonesa B - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	La Virgen del Camino - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL
- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Mojados	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Almazán - Atlético Palencia	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
12.10.25	Atlético Palencia - Leonesa B	3:2
08.03.25	Atlético Palencia - Leonesa B	1:1
23.10.24	Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia	1:1
16.12.23	Atlético Palencia - Leonesa B	0:3
18.03.23	Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia	2:1
20.11.22	Atlético Palencia - Leonesa B	0:2
12.02.22	Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia	0:0

Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide