Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Bembibre		Leonesa B

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.15	2.12
	3	3.15	2.29
	25.00	7.48	1.07	Watch
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.01	3.08	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (2.39)	3.81 ↑ (3.1)	2.03 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
16.5%

Draw
29%

Leonesa B
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bembibre's form might have worsened.

Leonesa B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bembibre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa B than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bembibre - Leonesa B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 1.

Bembibre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leonesa B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Bembibre has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bembibre	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
6	Leonesa B	5	3	1	1	4:2	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.01.26	Bembibre - Almazán	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Becerril - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTW
- Leonesa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
24.01.26	Leonesa B - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	La Virgen del Camino - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Leonesa B - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Numancia B - Leonesa B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.09.25	Leonesa B - Bembibre	1:2
29.03.25	Leonesa B - Bembibre	3:1
10.11.24	Bembibre - Leonesa B	0:1
09.03.24	Leonesa B - Bembibre	4:1
22.10.23	Bembibre - Leonesa B	0:1
22.04.23	Leonesa B - Bembibre	1:3
08.01.23	Bembibre - Leonesa B	2:0

Bembibre - Leonesa B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide