Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lerumo Lions		Black Leopards

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.78	2.92
	2.41	2.84	2.96
	2.51	2.73	3.05	Watch
	2.43	2.84	2.96
	2.55	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.54)	2.81 ↓ (2.93)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lerumo Lions
36.5%

Draw
32.1%

Black Leopards
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

31.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerumo Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Black Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Leopards than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lerumo Lions - Black Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Black Leopards is Relegated to

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lerumo Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lerumo Lions	8	4	2	2	11:6	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
10.05.26	Midlands Wanderers - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	University of Pretoria - Lerumo Lions	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Highbury	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Leicesterford City - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTW
- Black Leopards
South African First Division
10.05.26	Black Leopards - Venda	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kruger United - Black Leopards	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Black Leopards - Milford	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Black Leopards - The Bees	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Casric Stars - Black Leopards	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
20.09.25	Black Leopards - Lerumo Lions	1:1

Lerumo Lions - Black Leopards