The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paide LM 14.5%
Draw 19.3%
Levadia Tallinn 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
21.4%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
21.3%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paide LM - Levadia Tallinn Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Jarju E. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 44. Kait K. 3. Victor Hugo 2. Lilander M. 6. Daniel Cabral 10. Miller M. (C) 14. Jobarteh M. 11. Sohna M. P. 19. Luts S. 29. Darboe D.
99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 20. Nwankwo A. 4. Tammik T. 29. Saliste J. 18. Alexandre 5. Roosnupp M. (C) 21. Skvortsov M. 36. Joao Pedro 10. Wendell 22. Bessala M.
Substitutes
9. Anier H. 17. Cham P. A. 37. Kanne K. 77. Luts D. 12. Meerits M. (G) 8. Ojamaa H. 23. Palacios J. 20. Piht K. 21. Smirnov R. 16. Surogin A.
11. Ainsalu M. 1. Ani O. (G) 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 9. Kutateladze N. 7. Lehtmets G. 30. Liiv H. 33. Otoo E. 6. Peetson R. 19. Reis G.
Coaches
Kink T.
Zahovaiko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
27', Jobarteh M. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
42', Bessala M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Darboe D. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
46', Bessala M. ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
49', Sohna M. P. 🟨,
58', Skvortsov M. 🟨,
65', Luts S. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
67', Anier H. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Skvortsov M. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Skvortsov M. ↓, Ainsalu M. ↑,
70', Roosnupp M. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
80', Ojamaa H. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
80', Wendell ↓, Lehtmets G. ↑,
84', Nwankwo A. ↓, Peetson R. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Kutateladze N. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 1.
In recent matches, Paide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Levadia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Levadia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Paide has had a series of away games.
In this match, Levadia is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
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Jarju E. (G) 
Ojamaa H. 
Victor Hugo 
Nwankwo A. 
Bessala M. 
Palacios J. 
Kutateladze N. 
Otoo E. 
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