Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 20

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Maarjamäe staadion (Tallinn)


	Levadia Tallinn U21		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	4.1
	1.5	4.55	4.45
	1.58	4.59	3.9
	1.55	4.4	4.33
	1.46	4.7	4.99
	1.62	4.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.47 ↑ (3.98)	4.33 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn U21
58.8%

Draw
20.3%

Tallinna Kalev U21
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

20%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadia Tallinn U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Zukov M. (G) 50. Laskov M. 3. Kaua Davi 98. Zahovaiko T. 30. Liiv H. 51. Sakarias A. 76. Jumankin M. 40. Grankin N. 67. Fesenko A. 64. Gussev M. (C) 62. Kablik H.	1. Lepp S. (G) 15. Tomberg M. 23. Tammepold H. 6. Seimoja T. 3. Sheviakov D. 20. De Pizzol O. 14. Sal-Al-Saller D. (C) 7. Talu R. 16. Mihhailov V. 17. Nigula R. 9. Ilves R.
Substitutes
58. Aan R. 71. Dunits A. 65. Kenchoshvili S. 63. Mirosnitsenko B. 60. Muravlyov N. 53. Pihkva J. 57. Rodionov F. 68. Sibul A. 49. Sibul T. (G)	19. Esna J. 12. Jaritsa E. 13. Kaljurand J. (G) 27. Kask A. 2. Kirt A. 26. Korasteljov K. 8. Laasner K. 10. Lasn O. 11. Leis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, De Pizzol O. ⚽,
14', Zahovaiko T. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Grankin N. ⚽,
37', Lepp S. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Gussev M. (Pen),
43', 2 - 2, Tomberg M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Mihhailov V. ↓, Leis L. ↑,
60', Sheviakov D. ↓, Laasner K. ↑,
61', Kaua Davi ↓, Pihkva J. ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Ilves R. ⚽,
71', Jumankin M. ↓, Muravlyov N. ↑,
71', Grankin N. ↓, Mirosnitsenko B. ↑,
76', Sakarias A. ↓, Kenchoshvili S. ↑,
78', 3 - 3, Kablik H. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia U21 won 2.

Recent form of Levadia U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kalev U21 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Levadia U21 is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Levadia U21 won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:18. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Levadia U21 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
12.07.25	Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	7:0 ✺
30.06.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
12.07.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme United	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:3 ✺
30.06.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - FC Tallinn	0:3 ✺
19.06.25	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
17.05.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:2
29.03.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1
10.11.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:1
18.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:3
30.05.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:3
06.05.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:0
19.09.19	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	6:1

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