Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 19

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Kalevi Keskstaadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Nõmme United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	26	11	1.06
	17.5	9.4	1.05
	16.3	13.56	1.04
	15	12	1.04
	30	11	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.96 ↓ (26.75)	11.39 ↑ (11.2)	1.05 ↑ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
4.4%

Draw
8.1%

Nõmme United
87.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.4%

8.2%

88.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 - Kalev U21 (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vetkal M. (G) 26. Kukk C. 14. Sal-Al-Saller D. 3. Kajari E. 6. Seimoja T. 20. De Pizzol O. 77. Surogin A. 8. Laasner K. (C) 7. Talu R. 19. Kask A. 11. Leis L.	1. Lagus G. (G) 23. Laanelaid K. 55. Chanda R. 12. Marmei M. 3. Merilai S. 10. Frolov A. (C) 22. Radomskiy A. 79. Ossep L. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 80. Molder K. 20. Matas K.
Substitutes
9. Esna J. 80. Kaljurand J. (G) 16. Kirt A. 12. Mandlo M. 10. Nigula R. 27. Oja R. 15. Sandre G. 23. Tammepold H. 29. Tomberg M.	92. Kokka K. 7. Leppik R. 2. Leppsalu K. 9. Ounapuu E. 6. Palts M. 71. Purg G. (G) 13. Truuvaart A. 8. Vain B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ossep L. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
13', Frolov A. 🟨,
43', Ossep L. ↓, Leppik R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Leis L. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Matas K. ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, Matas K. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Kalev U21 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nõmme United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalev U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nõmme United is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kalev U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kalev U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
05.07.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:3 ✺
30.06.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - FC Tallinn	0:3 ✺
19.06.25	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:0 ✺
02.06.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Welco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL
- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
03.07.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United	1:5 ✺
28.06.25	Nõmme United - Elva	4:1 ✺
20.06.25	Tammeka U21 - Nõmme United	0:12 ✺
15.06.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:0 ✺
29.05.25	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
15.06.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:0
27.04.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme United	1:3

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