Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 25

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Nike Arena (Elva)


	Elva		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.75	5
	1.36	5.15	5.35
	1.49	4.49	4.7
	1.42	4.7	5.51
	1.25	5.7	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.26)	4.96 ↓ (5.18)	6.01 ↓ (8.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
66.2%

Draw
18.5%

Tallinna Kalev U21
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17.5%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elva will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kalev U21 will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalev U21: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Kalev U21 (1.73) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tallinna Kalev U21 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev U21 (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Rebane S. (G) 11. Kaos M. 6. Kutt V. 5. Jagodinskis R. 55. Lani G. 10. Reilson J. (C) 18. Poldsaar K. 15. Jaagant R. 7. Paju A. 4. Bangura A. 19. Kruusla G.	1. Lepp S. (G) 16. Kirt A. 26. Kukk C. 23. Ernits R. 3. Sheviakov D. 14. Sal-Al-Saller D. 7. Surogin A. 27. Tomberg M. 11. Leis L. 9. Ilves R. 8. Laasner K. (C)
Substitutes
29. Fenin A. 36. Ilves E. 12. Janes M. (G) 1. Kruus K. (G) 27. Laaneots D. 23. Lindmae R. 24. Sanchez L. 16. Thomson M. 8. Tinn K.	19. Esna J. 17. Jaritsa E. 2. Kahro K. 13. Kaljurand J. (G) 20. Kirss H. 10. Lasn O. 15. Mellis V. 6. Seimoja T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Tomberg M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 🟥,
60', 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Ilves R. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 2.

Elva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kalev U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elva has had a series of home games.

In this match, Elva is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Elva won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 2.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
16.08.25	FC Tallinn - Elva	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Elva - Tartu Welco	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.07.25	Elva - Tallinna JK Legion	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
26.07.25	Elva - Tammeka U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
16.08.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21	5:0 ✺
28.07.25	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
05.07.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	5:3
06.04.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva	0:1
27.10.24	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1
20.07.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva	2:2
18.05.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva	4:0
30.03.24	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2
29.09.19	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2

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