Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Canal 9, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
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Hong-kong	M Plus Live
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India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
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Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
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Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
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Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Levante		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.29	Watch
	8.3	5.9	1.31	Watch
	8.58	6.11	1.33
	6.88	5.01	1.39	Watch
	8.7	5.99	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.29 ↑ (7)	5.8 ↑ (5.25)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
11.6%

Draw
16.5%

Real Madrid
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

17.6%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

16.8%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	1.7%	91.7%

Levante - Real Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Real (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +1, 1st Half - Real (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (53 of 58 users predict this - 91.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.16% – 98.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Real (votes: 31 - 91.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 5. Elgezabal U. (C) 4. Dela 6. Varela Pampin D. 24. Alvarez C. 12. Vencedor U. 20. Rey O. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 21. Etta Eyong 9. Romero I.	1. Courtois T. (G) 17. Asencio R. 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 20. Garcia F. 8. Valverde F. (C) 19. Ceballos D. 30. Mastantuono F. 15. Guler A. 7. Vinicius Junior 10. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
16. Arriaga K. 7. Brugue R. 1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Espi C. 17. Garcia V. 15. Koyalipou G. 18. Losada I. 10. Martinez P. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 2. Moreno M. 23. Sanchez M.	4. Alaba D. 5. Bellingham J. 6. Camavinga E. 2. Carvajal D. 21. Diaz B. 3. Eder Militao 9. Endrick 16. Garcia G. 35. Jimenez D. 13. Lunin A. (G) 11. Rodrygo 14. Tchouameni A.
Coaches
Calero J.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Etta Eyong ⚽,
54', Carreras A. 🟨,
58', Elgezabal U. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Mbappe K. (Pen),
65', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Brugue R. ↑,
66', Vencedor U. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
66', 1 - 4, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
71', Mastantuono F. ↓, Tchouameni A. ↑,
71', Valverde F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
74', Alvarez C. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
74', Etta Eyong ↓, Losada I. ↑,
74', Romero I. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
82', Mbappe K. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
82', Ceballos D. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
82', Carreras A. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 2.

Recent form of Levante has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Levante: Matturro A. (Leg Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Levante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:51. (average 1.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Girona - Levante	0:4 ✺
14.09.25	Levante - Betis	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Elche - Levante	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Levante - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Deportivo Alavés - Levante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLL
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Real Madrid - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Real Oviedo - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.05.22	Real Madrid - Levante	6:0
22.08.21	Levante - Real Madrid	3:3
30.01.21	Real Madrid - Levante	1:2
04.10.20	Levante - Real Madrid	0:2
22.02.20	Levante - Real Madrid	1:0
14.09.19	Real Madrid - Levante	3:2
24.02.19	Levante - Real Madrid	1:2

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