Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nordsjælland		CSKA Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7.00
	1.41	4.50	6.25
	1.44	4.75	6.50
	1.45	4.93	6.78
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.80	6.50
	1.45	4.96	6.94
	1.41	4.90	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.79 ↑ (4.33)	6.61 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordsjælland
66%

Draw
19.7%

CSKA Sofia
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

20.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordsjælland's performance.

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordsjælland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nordsjælland - CSKA Sofia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In recent outings, Nordsjælland has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

CSKA Sofia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, CSKA Sofia has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, Nordsjælland enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Nordsjælland: Alio S. (Knee Injury) Mohammed A. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for CSKA Sofia: Brahimi M. (Red Card) Cotter B. (Off the roster) Gbamin J. (Muscle Injury) Ouorou T. (Off the roster) Zwarts J. (Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
28	CSKA Sofia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Nordsjaelland: 1.2% CSKA Sofia: 0.16%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
18.10.26	Lyngby BK - Nordsjælland	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Hearts - Nordsjælland	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
09.10.26	Nordsjælland - OB Odense	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Viborg - Nordsjælland	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTLW
- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Cup
18.10.26	Nesebar - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.10.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTW

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