Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)

Referee: Szikszay L. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Israel	Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Levski Sofia		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.95
	2.22	3.25	3.05
	2.54	3.16	2.78
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.35	3.24	3.14	Watch
	2.42	3.2	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.92 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
39%

Draw
29.2%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	38.1%	23.8%

Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Levski will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levski: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Hapoel Beer Sheva (12.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1, 2nd Half - Hapoel Beer Sheva (10.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1, 1st Half - Hapoel Beer Sheva (13.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Hapoel Beer Sheva (15.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Hapoel Beer Sheva (8.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75, 1st Half - Hapoel Beer Sheva (4.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Levski (1.42) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Hapoel Beer Sheva (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Hapoel Beer Sheva (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hapoel Beer Sheva (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hapoel Beer Sheva (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. 4. Makoun C. 3. Maicon 70. Kostadinov G. 6. Tsunami (C) 88. Petkov M. 37. Rildo 99. Kirilov R. 17. Everton Bala	55. Eliasi N. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 3. Baltaxa M. 22. Lopes H. 25. Lucas Ventura 11. Ganah A. C. 8. Kanaan M. 7. Peretz E. 10. Biton D. 66. Zlatanovic I.
Substitutes
95. Fabien K. 71. Kamdem O. 7. Lima F. 23. Myslovic P. 77. Rupanov B. 12. Sangare M. 18. Trdin G. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)	9. Ahmed Z. 29. Almog E. 5. Blorian O. 13. Davidzada O. 23. Hazut I. 18. Levy R. 1. Marciano O. (G) 36. Shani J. (G) 16. Siman Tov M. 17. Turgeman A.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Kozuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Miguel Vitor 🟨,
37', Kostadinov G. 🟨,
45+3', Maicon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Mizrahi G. 🟨,
58', Kanaan M. ↓, Ahmed Z. ↑,
63', Rildo ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
67', Peretz E. 🟨,
70', Maicon 🟨,
79', Mizrahi G. ↓, Levy R. ↑,
79', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Turgeman A. ↑,
84', Ganah A. C. ↓, Almog E. ↑,
89', Kostadinov G. ↓, Trdin G. ↑,
90', Everton Bala ↓, Lima F. ↑,
90+2', Ahmed Z. 🟨,
90+5', Peretz E. 🟨,
90+5', Kirilov R. ↓, Myslovic P. ↑,
90+5', Petkov M. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Levski has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Levski has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Levski won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Levski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
Club Friendly
03.07.25	Levski Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:2 ✺
29.06.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
25.06.25	Levski Sofia - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Levski Sofia - Spartak Pleven	5:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.05.25	Cherno More Varna - Levski Sofia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Cracovia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.05.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
24.05.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	5:0 ✺
19.05.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Haifa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Levski Sofia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1
10.08.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Levski Sofia	0:0

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