Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Lewes		Bowers & Pitsea

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	3.7
	1.79	4.07	3.7
	1.76	4.04	3.68
	1.62	4.33	3.75
	1.74	3.64	4.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	3.96 ↓ (4.08)	3.77 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
52.8%

Draw
23%

Bowers & Pitsea
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Bowers & Pitsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bowers & Pitsea than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Lewes - Bowers & Pitsea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Reeve L. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Bassett D. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lewes won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Bowers & Pitsea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lewes is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lewes won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.01.25	Whitehawk - Lewes	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Lewes - Horsham	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Lewes - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Hashtag United - Lewes	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT
- Bowers & Pitsea FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.01.25	Chichester City - Bowers & Pitsea	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Folkestone Invicta	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Chatham Town - Bowers & Pitsea	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.09.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Lewes	0:2
11.02.23	Bowers & Pitsea - Lewes	2:3
26.11.22	Lewes - Bowers & Pitsea	2:2
23.04.22	Lewes - Bowers & Pitsea	2:2
11.12.21	Bowers & Pitsea - Lewes	1:3
06.10.20	Bowers & Pitsea - Lewes	1:1
English FA Cup
21.09.19	Lewes - Bowers & Pitsea	1:2

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