Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Hashtag United		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.93	3.93	3.2
	1.83	3.73	3.65	Watch
	1.85	3.64	3.49
	1.92	4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	3.78 ↑ (3.73)	3.38 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hashtag United
48.7%

Draw
24.2%

Lewes
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

24.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

22.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hashtag United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hashtag United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Hashtag United - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 1 - 0, Ogbebor P. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Unwin B. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Taylor-Crossdale M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Kouassi E. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 3, Allen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 3 - 3, Kouassi E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Recent performances by Hashtag have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lewes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hashtag is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hashtag won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hashtag won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hashtag United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Hashtag United - Ramsgate	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Hashtag United - Chatham Town	0:6 ✺
28.10.25	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLLWT
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
11.11.25	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Lewes - Brentwood Town	4:2 ✺
01.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.08.25	Lewes - Hashtag United	0:2
28.12.24	Hashtag United - Lewes	2:1
17.08.24	Lewes - Hashtag United	2:1
20.04.24	Lewes - Hashtag United	2:1
15.01.24	Hashtag United - Lewes	2:3

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