Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Lewes		Horsham

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.78
	3.55	3.75	1.81
	3.65	3.91	1.79
	3.1	3.75	1.91
	3.74	3.62	1.8
	3.55	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.64)	3.73 ↑ (3.54)	1.82 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
25.8%

Draw
24.3%

Horsham
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

25.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lewes's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lewes - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Hammond J. (Pen),
42', 0 - 2, Meekums R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lewes won 2.

Lewes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Horsham in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lewes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.01.25	Lewes - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Hashtag United - Lewes	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Lewes - Chichester City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTTL
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.01.25	Hendon - Horsham	0:4 ✺
11.01.25	Horsham - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
01.01.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Horsham	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Horsham - Lewes	2:0
16.04.24	Lewes - Horsham	2:1
24.02.24	Horsham - Lewes	1:3
14.02.23	Lewes - Horsham	1:1
13.09.22	Horsham - Lewes	2:0
27.12.21	Horsham - Lewes	1:3
30.08.21	Lewes - Horsham	0:0

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