Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Lewes		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.25
	1.93	4.1	3.1
	1.86	4.18	3.22	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.1
	1.87	3.84	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.89 ↓ (4.18)	3.26 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
48.7%

Draw
23.4%

Canvey Island
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

22%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

21.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Lewes - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Ofori-Acheampong D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Ofori-Acheampong D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 2, Walker C. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Kpakpe A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Canvey Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lewes might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lewes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.26	Dartford - Lewes	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lewes - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Brentwood Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lewes - Billericay Town	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lewes - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.26	Canvey Island - Hashtag United	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Canvey Island - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Chatham Town - Canvey Island	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Canvey Island - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carshalton Athletic - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:1
15.03.25	Canvey Island - Lewes	4:0
30.11.24	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:1
09.04.24	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:2
02.03.24	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:2
22.04.23	Canvey Island - Lewes	1:3
21.03.23	Lewes - Canvey Island	0:2

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