Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 45

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.35	3.5	2.85
	2.33	3.54	3.06
	2.33	3.54	3.06
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.32	3.54	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	2.95 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
41.2%

Draw
26.9%

Fleetwood Town
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Leyton Orient - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brynn S. (G) 32. Hunt R. 19. Beckles O. (C) 4. Simpson J. 2. James T. 8. Brown J. 29. Obiero Z. 17. Forde S. 22. Galbraith E. 21. O'Neill O. 7. Agyei D.	13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 16. Heneghan B. 4. Wiredu B. (C) 11. Broom R. 8. Kilkenny G. 5. Lawal B. 2. Johnston C. 17. Simons X. 20. Omochere P. 19. Graydon R.
Substitutes
20. Adu Adjei D. 5. Happe D. 13. Howes S. (G) 14. Moncur G. 9. Pigott J. 18. Pratley D. 23. Sanders M. H.	6. Campbell E. 33. Coughlan R. 14. Lonergan T. 10. Mayor D. 30. McMullan S. (G) 44. Patterson P. 15. Quitirna J.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Adam C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Omochere P. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
67', Agyei D. ↓, Moncur G. ↑,
72', Graydon R. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
76', Brown J. ↓, Pratley D. ↑,
76', Obiero Z. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
76', Broom R. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
79', Simpson J. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
79', Hunt R. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
89', Rooney S. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Simons X. ⚽, Lonergan T. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Leyton Orient could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leyton Orient will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
13.04.24	Derby County - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
09.04.24	Leyton Orient - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Leyton Orient - Cheltenham Town	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Leyton Orient - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Lincoln City - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
16.04.24	Peterborough United - Fleetwood Town	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Fleetwood Town - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Blackpool - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Oxford United - Fleetwood Town	4:0 ✺
29.03.24	Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.09.23	Fleetwood Town - Leyton Orient	1:0
10.01.15	Leyton Orient - Fleetwood Town	0:1
30.08.14	Fleetwood Town - Leyton Orient	1:1

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