The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 60.4%
Draw 20.9%
Fleetwood Town 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
20.6%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
19.5%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterborough United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
6.2%
18.7%
Peterborough United - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Steer J. (G) 2. Katongo J. 5. Knight J. 4. Edwards R. 3. Burrows H. (C) 22. Kyprianou H. 27. Collins A. 16. Ajiboye D. 14. Randall J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 18. Mothersille M.
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 16. Heneghan B. 4. Wiredu B. (C) 2. Johnston C. 10. Mayor D. 5. Lawal B. 22. Dolan C. 11. Broom R. 14. Lonergan T. 20. Omochere P.
Substitutes
1. Bilokapic N. (G) 9. Clarke-Harris J. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 8. De Havilland R. 36. Dornelly J. 17. Jones R.J. 11. Poku K.
6. Campbell E. 19. Graydon R. 30. McMullan S. (G) 44. Patterson P. 15. Quitirna J. 12. Samuels I. 17. Simons X.
Coaches
Ferguson D.
Adam C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Lawal B. ⚽, Wiredu B. (A),
10', Omochere P. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Mothersille M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lonergan T. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
46', Dolan C. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
57', Randall J. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
76', Lawal B. (Pen),
79', Mothersille M. ↓, Clarke-Harris J. ↑,
79', Katongo J. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Clarke-Harris J. (A),
85', Johnston C. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
85', Broom R. ↓, Quitirna J. ↑,
86', Jones R.J. ↓, Crichlow-Noble R. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Clarke-Harris J. ⚽, Steer J. (A),
90+6', 4 - 1, Clarke-Harris J. ⚽, Mason-Clark E. (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 3.
Recent matches Peterborough is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fleetwood is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Peterborough is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.