Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Pollard C. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.16	3.25	3.2
	2.18	3.25	3.73
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.2	3.46	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.05)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	3.43 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
43.5%

Draw
28.9%

Grimsby Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 6 (5.38%), has project points - 67, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Grimsby has the most likely position - 24 (7.3%), has project points - 54, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 10, small importance 24, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.

Leyton Orient is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leyton Orient will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Walthamstow - Leyton Orient	0:3 ✺
19.07.22	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	2:5 ✺
12.07.22	Maidstone United - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
08.07.22	Leyton Orient - Peterborough United	0:3 ✺
04.07.22	Leyton Orient - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLL
- Grimsby Town
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Grimsby Town - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Alfreton Town - Grimsby Town	0:4 ✺
English National League
05.06.22	Solihull Moors - Grimsby Town	1:2 ET ✺
28.05.22	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	4:5 ET ✺
23.05.22	Notts County - Grimsby Town	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.03.21	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	0:1
17.10.20	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	2:3
11.01.20	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	1:1
19.10.19	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	0:4
11.03.17	Leyton Orient - Grimsby Town	0:3
20.08.16	Grimsby Town - Leyton Orient	1:2

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