Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Leyton Orient		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.35	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.59	2.8
	2.45	3.59	2.69
	3	3.5	2
	2.45	3.48	2.59
	2.37	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.58 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
37.4%

Draw
26.7%

Portsmouth
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Leyton Orient - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Howes S. (G) 2. James T. 4. Turns E. 19. Beckles O. 3. Sweeney J. 8. Brown J. 18. Pratley D. (C) 11. Archibald T. 14. Moncur G. 10. Sotiriou R. 16. Drinan A.	31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 20. Raggett S. (C) 4. Towler R. 23. Hume D. 14. Stevenson B. 30. Jewitt-White H. 11. Whyte G. 15. Saydee C. 25. Kamara A. 19. Yengi K.
Substitutes
1. Brynn S. (G) 22. Galbraith E. 5. Happe D. 38. Mohamud A. 34. Pegrum C. 9. Pigott J. 36. Welch M.	39. Aston M. 24. Devlin T. 27. Folarin S. 42. Mottoh K. 1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 18. Shaughnessy C.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Mousinho J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Portsmouth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Leyton Orient - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Carlisle United - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTTW
- Portsmouth FC
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Chesterfield - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Reading - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Cambridge United - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Portsmouth - Gillingham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.08.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	0:4
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	2:5
English League Two
14.01.17	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	2:1
08.10.16	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	0:1
06.02.16	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	0:1
26.12.15	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	3:2
English League One
12.03.13	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	1:0

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