Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Leça		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.65
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.44	2.95	2.75
	2.55	3.12	2.96
	2.44	3.13	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)	3.1 ↓ (3.24)	2.75 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
37.2%

Draw
29.5%

Sanjoanense
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

20.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leça that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanjoanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Leça is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanjoanense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leça won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leça won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.04.21	Leça - Amarante	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Vila Real - Leça	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Leça - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Marítimo B - Leça	4:0 ✺
28.02.21	Leça - Coimbrões	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLW
- AD Sanjoanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.04.21	Sanjoanense - Águeda	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Canelas - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Sanjoanense - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Anadia - Sanjoanense	0:2 ✺
28.02.21	Sanjoanense - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.12.19	Leça - Sanjoanense	0:0
07.04.19	Sanjoanense - Leça	1:1
18.11.18	Leça - Sanjoanense	1:2

Leça - Sanjoanense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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