Match Info

Jia League - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	3.2	1.92	Watch
	4.1	3.29	1.93
	7.86	4.73	1.36	Watch
	3.74	3.54	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.05)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
19.9%

Draw
26.1%

Liaoning Tieren
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.8%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.6%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nie Xuran (G) 25. Kurban I. 33. Dankler 36. Yang Yun (C) 14. Ma Chongchong 2. Deng Jiajie 10. An Yifei 42. Feng Zhuoyi 20. Liu Le 44. Gonzalez E. 8. Ayovi J.	20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 3. Pan Ximing 6. Gao Jiarun 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
18. Du Zhixuan 27. Gao Huaze 26. Jingrui J. (G) 28. Li Jingrun 5. Liu Y. 7. Liu Ziming 31. Luan Yi (G) 17. Sun Weizhe 29. Wang Jingbin 38. Yu Bohan 21. Zhan Sainan 45. Zhao Z.	1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 11. Gui Zihan 4. Liu Langzhou 30. Shi Xiaton (G) 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Hongli N.	Li Jinyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Sun Kangbo (A),
23', 1 - 1, Liu Le ⚽,
40', Xu Dong 🟨,
42', Yang Yun 🟨,
42', Pan Ximing 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
55', Dankler 🟨,
57', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
68', Liu Le ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
68', Deng Jiajie ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
69', Nie Xuran ↓, Luan Yi ↑,
81', An Yifei ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑,
85', Mbenza G. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
90+2', Zang Yifeng ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+2', Samuel A. 🟨,
90+4', Kunimoto T. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liaoning Tieren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
05.10.25	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLT
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
05.10.25	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
31.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0
22.09.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	0:1
05.05.24	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2
03.09.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
20.05.23	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1
05.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2
19.07.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	0:0

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